25. March 2012 00:14
By Marcin Narloch
| Fundamental Factor |
Effect on P/E |
Explanation |
| The risk (beta) increases |
Decrease |
P/E is decreasing function of risk, so that as risk increases, P/E will decrease. |
| The estimated growth rate increases |
Increase |
P/E is increasing function of the growth rate, so if the company is expected to grow, the P/E will grow accordingly. |
| The equity risk premium increases |
Decrease |
P/E is decreasing function of equity risk premium, so that once the risk is rising, P/E will drop. |
24. March 2012 08:00
By Marcin Narloch
- Net Income + Amortisation + Depreciation + Depletion = Cash Flow (CF)
Ignores changes in working capital and non-cash items.
- Cash Flow from Operations (CFO)
It’s not a free cash flow concept.
- Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)
Very variable metric, can be negative, but a good metric for steady companies.
- Earnings before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortisation (EBITDA)
Similar to CF (number 1 above) in that it ignores changes in working capital and non-cash items.
24. March 2012 08:00
By Marcin Narloch
In general EV metrics take into account total capital structure of an organisation (equity + debt – cash), whereas, P ratio is concerned with equity only.
When an analysis comes down to selection based on EV versus P metric, an analyst should use EV metric because it will present “truer” picture on an organisation being analysed. This will mostly become apparent when financial leverage difference is substantial between peers.
11. March 2012 08:00
By Marcin Narloch
P/S is calculated from total sales (revenue) a business has generated in an accounting period, whereas, P/E is the net figure of these sales, excluding taxes and expenses. Therefore, P/E can be easily manipulated, because there’s a long way down from total sales to the earnings.
Moreover, P/E can be a negative if the company paid more expenses and taxes that it earned from sales. For these reasons, P/S is viewed as a more stable metric used to value and compare companies.
11. March 2012 08:00
By Marcin Narloch
- Company is no longer a going concern: when the company is faced or expected to face a liquidation. In such situation cash flows will be most likely negative, as well as earnings. In such cases, assets minus liabilities = book value is best choice for analysis.
- Company is mostly run from liquid assets: banking, insurance or investment businesses, so that these assets can be easily calculated.
- Company experiencing negative or variable Earnings per Share (EPS): in such cases P/BV valuation is best suited because it will return a positive result.
11. March 2012 08:00
By Marcin Narloch
Generally, any price multiple from the following list could potentially be of concern to the analyst:
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- Price to Book Value (P/B)
- Price to Sales (P/S)
- Price of Cash Flow (P/CF)
- Price to Dividends (P/D)
The reason being that each of these multiples uses stock price as nominator, and the stock price could in itself be overvalued by market standards. This in turn mean that analyst’s view that a stock is undervalued relative to market could be wrong because such stock in itself could be overvalued in relation to its intrinsic value of peer-to-peer valuation.